Sunday, March 16, 2008

My Bracket

So I only spent several hours last night and this morning doing research, but I have come up with a list of teams for each seed. I did this looking at schedules, RPI's, Power Rankings, and I gave weight to teams that finished well and did not look to compare to other experts' guesses.

One Seeds:
Memphis, UCLA, UNC, Tennessee

Two Seeds:
Duke, Texas, Kansas, Wisconsin

Three Seeds:
Stanford, Xavier, Arkansas, Pittsburgh


Four Seeds:
Drake, Louisville, Washington State, Georgetown

Five Seeds:
Vandy, UCONN, Clemson, Texas A&M

Six Seeds:
Butler, UNLV, Marquette, MSU


Seven Seeds:
Notre Dame, WVU, Gonzaga, USC

Eight Seeds:
Kent State, Purdue, Indiana, BYU


Nine Seeds:
Miami, St. Mary’s, Oklahoma, South Alabama

Ten Seeds:
Davidson, Kansas State, Illinois State, Miss St


Eleven Seeds:
Dayton, Western Kentucky, Oregon, Arizona

Twelve Seeds:
Kentucky, Baylor, Ohio State, Temple


Thirteen Seeds:
George Mason, Oral Roberts, Boise State, Siena

Fourteen Seeds:
MDBC, Cornell, Belmont , San Diego


Fifteen Seeds:
Austin Peay, Cal State Fullerton, Winthrop, Portland State

Sixteen Seeds (5):
Coppin State, Miss Valley State, (Southland Champ), Mt. St. Marys, American

So first off I do have Ohio State in the dance. The late season wins really helped I think, but they're the last team in by my count, and if Illinois or Georgia wins today, they're toast. Also down there for the final spots, I gave heavy consideration to St Joes. But I already had three other Atlantic 10 teams in, and I do not feel this conference a four bid conference. There are good teams in the conference, but also some very bad teams.

I looked up Joe Lunardi's bracket and turns out we agree on a lot. We have only one at-large disagreement. He has Dayton being the seventh team out of the tournament and I have them in (he has St. Joe's instead). I like Dayton simply because they defeated St. Joe's just two weeks ago. I don't think the 9-9 conference record should be held against them because they played a very in the non-conference schedule and won four of their last five. Wins against Pitt and Louisville also help the cause for them.

Also I was surprised how high Lunardi had Indiana. He has them listed as a five seed. They're good, however they have seemed to fallen apart since Sampsongate. They barely got past Northwestern who are simple awful, came a shot away from losing to OSU at home, and have since lost to Penn State and Minnesota. We shall see how close I am tonight.

If you're wondering what my first teams not in are, it is Villanova, St. Joe's, and UAB. I gave UAB a strong amount of consideration considering their record and them coming from an underrated conference with only one team in the field.

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